The 2026 FIFA World Cup is the biggest in history โ 48 teams, 104 matches, three host nations. With the field wider than ever, predicting a winner means separating the genuine contenders from the pretenders.
The favourites
Defending champions Argentina arrive with the core of their 2022 winning side, though Lionel Messi will be 38 by the tournament. France remain the most complete squad in world football, with Kylian Mbappรฉ entering his prime and extraordinary strength in depth. England have a golden generation led by Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane, finally with the squad balance to convert potential into silverware.
The challengers
Brazil are rebuilding under a new generation headlined by Vinรญcius Jรบnior and Rodrygo, while Spain, the reigning European champions, play the most cohesive football of any contender behind Rodri, Pedri and the teenage sensation Lamine Yamal.
Dark horses
Watch Portugal, who blend experience with youth, and Morocco, whose stunning run to the 2022 semi-finals proved they belong among the elite. Host nations USA, Mexico and Canada will all benefit from home support and familiar conditions.
Our prediction
The expanded format adds variance, but quality rises to the top over seven games. Our model favours France to lift the trophy, with Argentina and England completing the podium โ though in a 48-team field, surprises are guaranteed.
This is editorial analysis, not betting advice. Predictions will be tracked and updated throughout the tournament.